A: NO. Educational framework only. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making ANY investment decisions.
A: This site does NOT give personalized recommendations. YOUR situation is unique (risk tolerance, time horizon, tax situation, goals). Always consult a financial advisor for personalized guidance.
A: No, this is risk management analysis. Market timing tries to maximize returns by predicting tops/bottoms. This system tracks whether historical bubble patterns are repeating. You might still be early, late, or wrong.
A: Limited track record. Worked in 2000 and 2008 (n=2), failed in 2022 and other periods. This is NOT proven with decades of validation. It's experimental with known limitations.
A: Very possible. Based on only 2 examples and has already failed in other conditions. No system is perfect. Use as ONE tool among many.
A: Risk management. If CRWV gets acquired/delisted or has company-specific issues, signal would fail. Composite (CRWV + DLR + EQIX + GLW) provides robustness, reduces IPO volatility, broader confirmation, better backtesting. Still weight CRWV at 30% and flag divergences.
A: Business model matches 2000 infrastructure failures: AI data centers (like Global Crossing's fiber), high debt, concentrated customers (62% Microsoft), negative earnings. However, could prove sustainable if AI demand materializes.
A: Weekly (Sunday evenings). System tracks 4-week trends. Daily checking unnecessary and may increase anxiety.
A: 2022 was macro-driven (Fed rate hikes), not sector-specific bubble. All sectors fell together - no cascade. System designed for sector bubbles, not macro policy. This is a KNOWN LIMITATION.
A: NO. System tracks multi-week/month trends using 4-week windows. Completely inappropriate for day trading or short-term trading.
A:
A: Unknown. System shows early warning but doesn't guarantee crash. Possible outcomes: cascade like 2000/2008, false alarm if AI sustainable, pattern doesn't apply to 2025, macro factors override.
A: Zero. Initial public release (v1.0). No real-world track record. All performance is historical backtesting. We could be completely wrong. In 12-24 months we'll know if it worked.
A: No. Free educational resource. No ads, no affiliate links, no subscriptions. Creator may hold positions in mentioned securities but has no financial relationships with any companies.
A: Creator is NOT a registered investment advisor, broker, or financial planner. Independent research project for educational purposes. See About page.
A: Yes. In 2000, infrastructure showed stress for 12+ months before cascade. False positives during 1998-1999 lasted months. You could underperform for extended periods before (if) it proves correct.